爱渭南的暖洋洋
发表于 2024-11-7 14:34
陕西发布未来24小时灾害性天气预报！今年是暖冬还是冷冬？最新研判→
<div class="wx_rich_media_content" id="jsWxContainer"><p style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; margin-bottom: 8px; outline: 0px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; font-family: "PingFang SC", system-ui, -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; line-height: 1.75em; visibility: visible;" data-mpa-powered-by="yiban.io"></p><section style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; font-family: "PingFang SC", system-ui, -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; line-height: 1.75em; visibility: visible;"></section><section style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; font-family: "PingFang SC", system-ui, -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; line-height: 1.75em; visibility: visible;"><br></section><section style="line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong><span style="font-size: 16px;">陕西省气象台2024年11月07日10时发布未来24小时灾害性天气预报</span></strong></span><span style="font-size: 16px;">：预计今天白天到晚上，榆林中西部、延安中西部、宝鸡部分、咸阳部分、西安部分、汉中部分、安康北部、商洛部分地区有雾。同时，今天午间开始，榆林大部、延安部分、秦岭沿线一带有 4-5 级偏南风，部分地区有 6 级以上阵风。提请相关地区密切关注天气形势，注意防范气象灾害及次生灾害，及时发布预警信号。</span></section><section style="line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="font-size: 16px;"><br></span></section><section style="text-align: center; line-height: 1.75em;"><span class="wxart_image" wx-style="display:inline-block;"></span></section><section style="line-height: 1.75em;"><br></section><section><br></section><section style="line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong><span style="font-size: 16px;">西安市气象台2024年11月06日16时发布天气预报</span></strong></span><span style="font-size: 16px;">：近期西安市以多云天气为主，气温逐渐回升，夜间至早晨时段易出现低能见度天气，请注意防范对交通出行的不利影响。</span><span style="font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 0.034em;">后期11-13日以阴天为主，多小雨或阵雨天气。具体预报如下：</span></section><section style="line-height: 1.75em;"><br></section><section style="line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="font-size: 16px;">07日：阴天转多云，8℃～17℃；</span></section><section style="line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="font-size: 16px;">08日：晴天间多云，9℃～18℃；</span></section><section style="line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="font-size: 16px;">09日：多云间阴天，10℃～16℃；</span></section><section style="line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="font-size: 16px;">10日：多云转阴天，12℃～19℃；</span></section><section style="line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="font-size: 16px;">11日：阴天转小雨，12℃～17℃；</span></section><section style="line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="font-size: 16px;">12日：多云转阴天，南部区县有小雨，13℃～16℃；</span></section><section style="line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="font-size: 16px;">13日：阴天有小雨，12℃～15℃。</span></section><section><br></section><p style="line-height: 1.75em;text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 16px;">近期，陕西多地开启降温模式，</span></p><p style="line-height: 1.75em;text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 16px;">大家在深秋感受到了冬的气息，</span></p><p style="line-height: 1.75em;text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 16px;">纷纷讨论冷冬是否即将到来。</span></p><p style="line-height: 1.75em;text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 16px;">那么</span></p><p style="line-height: 1.75em;text-align: center;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong><span style="font-size: 16px;">今年到底是冷冻还是暖冬呢？</span></strong></span></p><p style="line-height: 1.75em;text-align: center;"><span style="color: rgb(0, 122, 170);"><strong><span style="font-size: 16px;">一起来</span><span style="font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 0.034em;">来看国家气候中心的分析</span></strong></span><span style="font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 0.034em;"></span></p><p style="line-height: 1.75em;text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 0.034em;">↓<span style="letter-spacing: 0.544px;">↓<span style="letter-spacing: 0.544px;">↓</span></span></span></p><p><span style="font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 0.034em;"><br></span></p><p style="line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="font-size: 16px;">关于冷冬的热议，</span><span style="letter-spacing: 0.034em;font-size: 16px;">离不开“幕后推手”拉尼娜。</span><span style="font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 0.034em;">早在今年9月，世界气象组织就预测拉尼娜准备在秋季“返场”。许多人认为拉尼娜的出现，意味着冬天将变得更冷甚至带来超强寒潮，但拉尼娜与冷冬是否能完全画等号？它对气候变化究竟有哪些影响？</span></p><p style="line-height: 1.75em;"><br></p><p style="line-height: 1.75em;"><br></p><p style="line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="font-size: 16px;">拉尼娜是指赤道中东太平洋大范围海表温度持续异常偏低，也就是连续6个月较常年偏低0.5℃的现象，它的出现常伴有热带大气环流的变化，例如风、气压和降水量的变化。与厄尔尼诺现象相反，拉尼娜对全球气候有相对短暂的降温效应。</span></p><p style="line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="font-size: 16px;"><br></span></p><p><span class="wxart_image" wx-style="display:inline-block;-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;font-family: var(--base-font-family);width: 564px;object-fit: fill;display: block;"></span></p><p style="line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="font-size: 16px;"><br></span></p><p style="line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="font-size: 16px;">据统计，1951年至今发生了15次拉尼娜事件，1986年以前拉尼娜事件的当年，我国冬季均为冷冬，但在全球变暖的背景下，1986年以后拉尼娜事件当年，出现暖冬的频率增加。</span></p><p style="line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="font-size: 16px;"><br></span></p><p><span class="wxart_image" wx-style="display:inline-block;-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;font-family: var(--base-font-family);width: 564px;object-fit: fill;display: block;"></span></p><p style="line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="font-size: 16px;"><br></span></p><p style="line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="font-size: 16px;">拉尼娜其实并不意味着冷冬。我国冬季究竟是偏冷还是偏暖，与东亚冬季风强度密切相关，北极海冰、欧亚积雪等也起到重要作用。不过从统计数据来看，出现拉尼娜以后，我国冬季偏冷的概率更大一些。由于今年的拉尼娜可能是一个较弱的事件，它会在多大程度上影响这个冬季的气温，还有待观察。</span></p><p style="line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="font-size: 16px;"><br></span></p><p style="line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="font-size: 16px;">就发生频率而言，厄尔尼诺发生不规律，大约每两到七年发生一次，通常在一年内迅速成熟并衰减。拉尼娜的强度通常比厄尔尼诺弱，但持续时间更长，通常能达到约9—12个月，有些甚至能持续两年以上，也就是所谓的多年期。2020年到2023年就发生了21世纪首次“三重”拉尼娜事件。</span></p><p style="line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="font-size: 16px;"><br></span></p><section data-tools="135编辑器" data-id="145054" style="line-height: 1.75em;"><section style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;margin: 10px auto;outline: 0px;display: flex;justify-content: center;"><section style="line-height: 1.75em;"><section style="line-height: 1.75em;"><section style="line-height: 1.75em;"><section style="line-height: 1.75em;"><section style="line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="font-size: 16px;">国家气候中心预测</span></section><p style="letter-spacing: 0.578px; line-height: 1.75em; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 0.034em;">↓<span style="letter-spacing: 0.544px;">↓<span style="letter-spacing: 0.544px;">↓</span></span></span></p></section></section></section></section></section></section><ul data-source="cke" class="list-paddingleft-1" style="line-height: 1.75em;"><li style="line-height: 1.75em;"><p style="line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="font-size: 16px;">未来拉尼娜连续发生的频率可能增加</span></p></li></ul><section style="line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="font-size: 16px;"><br></span></section><section style="line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="font-size: 16px;">从全球范围来看，拉尼娜不算是大概率事件。在过去100年里，全球共发生了20次拉尼娜事件，其中10次为一年事件，10次为多年事件。但值得注意的是，多年期拉尼娜事件的确发</span><span style="font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 0.034em;">生得越来越频繁了：</span><span style="font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 0.034em;">自21世纪初以来，全球已发生5次多年期拉尼娜事件。</span></section><section style="line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 0.034em;"><br></span></section><p style="line-height: 1.75em;"><span class="wxart_image" wx-style="display:inline-block;line-height: 1.75em;"></span></p><section style="line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="font-size: 16px;"><br></span></section><section style="line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="font-size: 16px;">多年期拉尼娜事件由于对应着更强的海温异常，往往会对全球气候、环境及经济社会带来持续性和叠加性的破坏影响，并显著提高极端天气灾害的发生风险。这些观测事实揭示了目前多年期拉尼娜事件的加速趋势。</span></section><section style="line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="font-size: 16px;"><br></span></section><ul data-source="cke" class="list-paddingleft-1" style="line-height: 1.75em;"><li style="line-height: 1.75em;"><p style="line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="font-size: 16px;">今冬易出现阶段性强降温、强降雪</span></p></li></ul><p style="line-height: 1.75em;"><br></p><p style="line-height: 1.75em;"><span class="wxart_image" wx-style="display:inline-block;line-height: 1.75em;"></span></p><section style="line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="font-size: 16px;"><br></span></section><section style="line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="font-size: 16px;">国家气候中心预测，今年秋冬季我国较易出现阶段性强降温、强降雪天气。</span></section><section style="line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="font-size: 16px;"><br></span></section><ul class="list-paddingleft-1" style="line-height: 1.75em;"><li style="line-height: 1.75em;"><p style="line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="font-size: 16px;">建议农业农村部门加强对设施农业和畜牧业冻害、雪灾和大风灾害的防范；</span></p></li><li style="line-height: 1.75em;"><p style="line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="font-size: 16px;">交通部门做好低温强降雪大风灾害风险预案；</span></p></li><li style="line-height: 1.75em;"><p style="line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="font-size: 16px;">相关地区和部门根据灾害监测预警信息及时做好设备除冰、道路除雪等维护、维修工作。</span></p></li></ul><section style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; letter-spacing: 0.578px; font-family: -apple-system-font, system-ui, Arial, sans-serif; visibility: visible;"><br></section><section style="text-align: right; -webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; font-size: 16px; font-family: "PingFang SC", system-ui, -apple-system, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; visibility: visible; line-height: normal;"><span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;outline: 0px;color: rgb(136, 136, 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普通人类
发表于 2024-11-7 14:56
今冬易出现阶段性强降温
箴言天
发表于 2024-11-7 16:07
出现阶段性强降温
孙会玲
发表于 2024-11-7 16:37
今冬易出现阶段性强降温
Ann123456
发表于 2024-11-7 16:48
注意预防灾害
劲舞骄阳
发表于 2024-11-7 17:00
才立冬，天气就变了。
监狱长
发表于 2024-11-7 17:29
今冬易出现阶段性强降温
道缘
发表于 2024-11-7 17:30
看来暖冬的可能性比较大
西部牛仔
发表于 2024-11-7 17:56
强降温那就是极寒天气
wnghj766824
发表于 2024-11-7 18:42
谢谢提醒知道了